Armacenenses vs Aljustrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
55%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armacenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARM
4 - 0
FAB
8%
14%
79%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 1
ARM
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARM
6 - 1
RED
42%
23%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 3
LOU
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 0
ARM
87%
10%
3%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALJ
1 - 0
LUS
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FAB
0 - 2
ALJ
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PMI
1 - 4
ALJ
27%
23%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALJ
2 - 3
MOU
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 0
ALJ
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |