Arlesey Town vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BRO
5 - 0
ARL
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
ARL
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ARL
2 - 0
AYL
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +3 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
DUN
4 - 0
ARL
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
LEI
2 - 0
ARL
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
AYL
3 - 0
CHA
22%
26%
53%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 2
ILK
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
CHA
4 - 1
STO
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CHA
4 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WOD
0 - 2
CHA
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | +1 |