Arles vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
GAZ
1 - 1
ARL
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ARL
3 - 1
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
ARL
26%
26%
49%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
ARL
2 - 2
SAI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
ARL
0 - 3
GAZ
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 1
AGD
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAB
3 - 1
NIC
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 1
OLY
30%
26%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
NIC
0 - 1
FRE
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
NIC
3 - 1
AGD
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |