Ekstraklasa Round 17

Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznań analysis

Arka Gdynia Lech Poznań
65 ELO 79
-4.8% Tilt -15.9%
339º General ELO ranking 779º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
24.4%
Arka Gdynia
27.8%
Draw
47.8%
Lech Poznań

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
Arka Gdynia
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
47.8%
Win probability
Lech Poznań
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arka Gdynia
+1%
+13%
Lech Poznań

ELO progression

Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznań
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2011
ARK
Arka Gdynia
0 - 1
Wisla Kraków
WIS
26%
28%
47%
66 79 13 0
27 Nov. 2010
ARK
Arka Gdynia
2 - 2
Śląsk Wrocław
SLA
37%
29%
35%
66 72 6 0
19 Nov. 2010
WAR
Legia Warszawa
3 - 0
Arka Gdynia
ARK
73%
18%
9%
66 77 11 0
13 Nov. 2010
TSP
TS Polonia Bytom
2 - 0
Arka Gdynia
ARK
49%
28%
23%
67 68 1 -1
06 Nov. 2010
ARK
Arka Gdynia
2 - 1
Korona Kielce
KOR
34%
28%
38%
66 73 7 +1

Matches

Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2011
POL
Polonia Warszawa
1 - 2
Lech Poznań
LPO
41%
27%
32%
79 76 3 0
27 Feb. 2011
LPO
Lech Poznań
1 - 0
Widzew Łódź
WLO
59%
23%
17%
79 72 7 0
24 Feb. 2011
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 0
Lech Poznań
LPO
61%
22%
17%
80 86 6 -1
20 Feb. 2011
LPO
Lech Poznań
0 - 1
Polonia Warszawa
POL
61%
22%
18%
80 75 5 0
17 Feb. 2011
LPO
Lech Poznań
1 - 0
Sporting Braga
SPB
35%
27%
38%
80 86 6 0