Ariznabarra vs Vitoria B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ARI
12%
18%
71%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 7
AUR
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SLV
2 - 2
ARI
39%
23%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
2 - 3
BFC
30%
27%
44%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
ARI
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
ELP
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CDL
2 - 2
TOR
48%
21%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
CDL
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 3
CSV
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 4
TOR
39%
21%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |