Ariznabarra vs El Pilar Marianistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CDV
3 - 1
ARI
73%
17%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARI
1 - 0
CDS
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ZUI
0 - 1
ARI
26%
23%
50%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 1
ZAR
32%
24%
44%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
ARI
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
El Pilar Marianistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ELP
1 - 2
ZUI
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ELP
2 - 2
ZAR
28%
25%
47%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 1
ELP
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ELP
1 - 0
CDA
71%
17%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LAU
2 - 0
ELP
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -1 |