Ariza vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BOR
3 - 0
ARI
48%
22%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 0
REM
40%
22%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 1
TOR
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
ARI
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 2
OLV
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
CDC
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
OLV
1 - 2
CDM
34%
26%
40%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
CAL
70%
18%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
CDM
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 2
RIV
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |