Ariston Ruse vs Chernomorets Balchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariston Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 3
ARR
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 1
ARR
63%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 1
ARR
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ARR
3 - 0
HIM
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AKS
3 - 2
ARR
40%
25%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Chernomorets Balchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 1
BEL
46%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DOB
3 - 1
CHE
67%
21%
13%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
CHE
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHE
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
SHU
3 - 1
CHE
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |