Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
3º
6º
5º
73
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
73 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 3
OMO
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OMO
3 - 0
ARI
35%
25%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
ANO
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PAP
1 - 0
ARI
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 1
APO
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 0
PAP
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 2
APO
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ANO
0 - 1
AEK
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OMO
0 - 1
AEK
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 1
ARI
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |