Ariana FC vs FBK Balkan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KAR
2 - 3
AFC
28%
22%
51%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
NOS
73%
16%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HAS
1 - 1
AFC
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
OST
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 2
AFC
12%
17%
71%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FBK Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FBK
2 - 1
RAP
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FBK
1 - 1
KRI
32%
22%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KAR
0 - 0
FBK
66%
17%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
FBK
2 - 3
NOS
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HAS
6 - 2
FBK
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |