Argentinos Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
RIV
2 - 3
ARG
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
ARG
1 - 1
IND
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
NOB
2 - 2
ARG
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 3
ARG
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1980 |
RAC
3 - 1
ARG
37%
23%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
INS
3 - 0
VEL
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
VEL
1 - 2
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
IND
3 - 2
VEL
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
VEL
0 - 2
CEN
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
FER
1 - 2
VEL
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |