Arg. Quilmes vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
CCO
2 - 4
ARQ
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
ARQ
1 - 0
SAC
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
STM
0 - 1
ARQ
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
ARQ
1 - 1
CAM
48%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
ARQ
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 1
LAF
32%
29%
40%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 0
CCO
55%
25%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAC
4 - 0
ARM
40%
27%
34%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -3 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
ARM
3 - 0
STM
41%
27%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 0
ARM
49%
27%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -3 |