Argentino Peñarol vs Independiente La Rioja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALP
1 - 1
ARG
53%
22%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARG
3 - 1
SAR
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 0
9DJ
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 1
ARG
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 3
RAC
13%
22%
65%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente La Rioja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
GPJ
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
IND
0 - 4
ALP
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
IND
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
9DJ
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 2
IND
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |