Arganil vs União FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
72.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arganil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ACA
3 - 0
ARG
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 1
TOC
24%
23%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COV
2 - 0
ARG
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
ARG
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 1
VIM
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
União FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 3
VIM
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
UNI
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
5 - 0
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FEB
0 - 3
UNI
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
PEN
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |