Arganil vs Febres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
76.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arganil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARG
0 - 4
ANC
17%
20%
63%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
EIR
2 - 1
ARG
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Febres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FEB
2 - 1
VIM
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 1
FEB
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TRO
6 - 0
FEB
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 59 | 37 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FEB
1 - 1
ADN
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |