Ocniţa vs FC Edinet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
58.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
4º
35
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocniţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 1
ISK
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARO
4 - 0
GRA
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ARO
4 - 0
CFR
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCV
0 - 2
ARO
46%
22%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 2
MIL
5%
12%
83%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
FC Edinet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCO
3 - 1
FCE
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VCU
0 - 0
FCE
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
4 - 0
FCT
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EFV
0 - 1
FCE
17%
18%
65%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
3 - 1
CFS
55%
21%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |