Aretxabaleta vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
BAR
3 - 1
ATX
75%
17%
8%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
ATX
1 - 0
SDA
33%
29%
38%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
ARE
4 - 1
ATX
51%
26%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
ATX
1 - 1
ALA
18%
30%
51%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
AUR
1 - 0
ATX
42%
29%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
GER
0 - 1
BAS
26%
29%
45%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
CDU
2 - 0
GER
79%
14%
6%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
GER
1 - 2
SNT
32%
29%
39%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
GER
3 - 2
BAR
23%
27%
50%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
SDA
6 - 2
GER
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |