AREPA vs FC Goleganense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AREPA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ATA
1 - 0
ARE
59%
21%
21%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARE
1 - 1
MUG
34%
23%
43%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 0
ARE
86%
10%
4%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ARE
0 - 1
GLO
9%
16%
76%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
ARE
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Goleganense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GOL
0 - 2
SAM
18%
21%
62%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MOC
5 - 0
GOL
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
GOL
0 - 1
VPE
64%
19%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PER
3 - 2
GOL
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GOL
0 - 2
GLO
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |