Arenesco vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenesco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 4
ARE
28%
22%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
ARE
24%
21%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ARE
1 - 1
AST
65%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GOZ
4 - 4
ARE
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ARE
1 - 4
HIS
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
NAR
3 - 0
MAN
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AST
1 - 1
NAR
29%
24%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NAR
2 - 0
GOZ
39%
25%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
HIS
3 - 3
NAR
58%
21%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAR
0 - 3
LLA
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |