ISL Round 5

Arema FC vs Gresik United analysis

Arema FC Gresik United
56 ELO 54
15.1% Tilt -5.3%
4677º General ELO ranking 5349º
16º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
54.8%
Arema FC
22.4%
Draw
22.8%
Gresik United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
Arema FC
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.8%
Win probability
Gresik United
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arema FC
-4%
+22%
Gresik United

ELO progression

Arema FC
Gresik United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arema FC
Arema FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2016
MIT
Mitra Kukar
2 - 1
Arema FC
ARE
49%
25%
26%
55 55 0 0
15 May. 2016
ARE
Arema FC
3 - 0
Bhayangkara FC
BSU
54%
23%
24%
55 55 0 0
06 May. 2016
MAD
Madura United
0 - 0
Arema FC
ARE
47%
26%
27%
55 55 0 0
01 May. 2016
ARE
Arema FC
2 - 0
Persiba Balikpapan
PER
50%
23%
27%
55 55 0 0
17 Oct. 2015
ARE
Arema FC
2 - 0
Mitra Kukar
MIT
53%
23%
24%
56 56 0 -1

Matches

Gresik United
Gresik United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2016
GRE
Gresik United
0 - 0
Persikabo 1973
PST
48%
25%
28%
55 55 0 0
15 May. 2016
BAR
Barito Putera
3 - 1
Gresik United
GRE
48%
25%
28%
55 55 0 0
07 May. 2016
GRE
Gresik United
1 - 1
Perseru Badak Lampung
PER
45%
25%
30%
54 55 1 +1
30 Apr. 2016
PER
Persela
0 - 1
Gresik United
GRE
56%
23%
22%
52 55 3 +2
08 Sep. 2015
GRE
Gresik United
0 - 2
Madura United
MAD
48%
24%
28%
53 52 1 -1