Ards FC vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ARD
0 - 1
CLI
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
LIN
1 - 0
ARD
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ARD
0 - 7
LIN
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
LIM
1 - 1
ARD
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ARD
0 - 1
LIM
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
DUN
3 - 0
LOU
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
LIM
2 - 1
LOU
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
LOU
0 - 2
LIN
18%
20%
62%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
LOU
2 - 4
LIM
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 0
LOU
77%
15%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |