Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 0
ARD
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 1
ARD
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
ARD
1 - 2
COL
14%
23%
63%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CLI
4 - 1
ARD
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 1
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
WAR
4 - 0
INS
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
INS
0 - 2
GLE
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
INS
0 - 2
WAR
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |