Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 1
ARD
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 2
GLE
16%
21%
64%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
ARD
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 0
COL
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 0
ARD
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
CRU
12%
19%
69%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
GLE
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 0
INS
56%
22%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
INS
0 - 0
DUN
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |