Ards FC vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 3
POR
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
ARD
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
NEY
1 - 0
ARD
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 1
HAR
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 2
KNO
78%
14%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
BAL
16%
22%
63%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NEY
3 - 0
DER
68%
18%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
DER
0 - 0
BAL
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
DER
0 - 1
AUN
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
KNO
1 - 2
DER
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |