Ards FC vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 3
POR
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
ARD
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
NEY
1 - 0
ARD
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 1
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 2
KNO
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
BAL
17%
22%
62%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NEY
3 - 0
DER
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
DER
0 - 0
BAL
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
DER
0 - 1
AUN
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
KNO
1 - 2
DER
31%
23%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |