Ards FC vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ARD
1 - 2
ARC
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
ARD
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAN
0 - 1
ARD
45%
24%
30%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ARD
1 - 0
KRF
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 1
ARD
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DER
1 - 0
BMF
34%
26%
41%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LOU
3 - 0
DER
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
DER
0 - 1
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 4
DER
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BMF
2 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |