Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
9º
6º
47
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 5
ARD
32%
23%
45%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 2
NEY
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ARD
2 - 0
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
6 - 1
ARD
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ARD
2 - 1
AUN
24%
23%
54%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
BAL
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
HAR
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
DER
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 5
BAL
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
5 - 2
DUN
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |