Ards FC vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
GLE
4 - 1
ARD
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
ARD
2 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
COL
2 - 2
ARD
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
ARD
1 - 4
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
OMA
1 - 3
ARD
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
BAL
1 - 2
COL
36%
26%
37%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
CLI
2 - 2
BAL
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
BAL
2 - 3
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAR
44%
25%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
GLE
3 - 1
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |