Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NEY
4 - 1
ARD
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
ARD
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARD
4 - 0
DUN
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 3
ARD
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ARD
1 - 1
KNO
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
AUN
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEY
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
DUN
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 2
BAL
16%
20%
65%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |