Ardagger vs Waidhofen / Thaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
ARD
0 - 1
LAN
57%
23%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
STP
4 - 2
ARD
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ARD
0 - 0
WUR
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SVS
2 - 2
ARD
15%
23%
63%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
ARD
0 - 0
KOT
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waidhofen / Thaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 2
BAD
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 0
WAI
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 2
MIS
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
STP
2 - 2
WAI
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 3
STP
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |