Ardagger vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SPR
1 - 2
ARD
24%
23%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ARD
1 - 0
MAN
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 1
KOT
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
ARD
4 - 1
WAI
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GAF
1 - 1
ARD
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
SCO
2 - 0
GAF
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
WAI
2 - 2
SCO
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SCO
0 - 0
ZWE
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
SCO
3 - 5
SCH
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
KRE
10 - 1
SCO
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |