Arconatese vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
ARC
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 1
OLG
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 0
ARC
53%
22%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
ARC
38%
22%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 2
VAR
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 4
CAR
22%
25%
53%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
DER
60%
22%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
BUS
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
VER
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |