Arcade vs Sporting Guardés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARC
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 1
MAR
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARC
29%
25%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
MOA
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GOI
2 - 1
ARC
56%
22%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Guardés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
CUN
39%
23%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
PUE
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UDE
2 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 0
ADR
43%
24%
33%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |