Arcade vs Erizana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 1
UMI
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
ARC
18%
20%
61%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ARC
2 - 0
GON
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ARC
6 - 0
DOM
83%
12%
6%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ARC
3 - 2
PON
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ERI
3 - 1
CAM
48%
23%
30%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
UMI
3 - 1
ERI
66%
18%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ERI
5 - 2
CUN
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 2
ERI
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ERI
3 - 2
SAL
73%
15%
12%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |