ARC Alphense vs HVC '10 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ZWA
1 - 1
ARC
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 3
HBO
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
ARC
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NIV
2 - 5
ARC
16%
20%
64%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ARC
5 - 0
DMZ
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
HVC '10
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HVC
0 - 2
VAL
63%
19%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FSP
2 - 3
HVC
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HVC
2 - 0
VOO
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |