ARC Alphense vs DUNO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 2
ARC
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 0
ZWA
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DHS
1 - 0
ARC
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 0
JOD
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
ARC
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
DUNO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
SPI
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
SMI
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
RIJ
3 - 2
DUN
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
ARC
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
RIJ
21%
21%
58%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |