ARC Alphense vs CSW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARC
3 - 1
BOL
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 3
ARC
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 0
AFC
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
HUI
0 - 0
ARC
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 2
DHS
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CSW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
3 - 1
CSW
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ZUI
3 - 0
CSW
57%
21%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CSW
1 - 1
AAL
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HCF
0 - 4
CSW
13%
17%
71%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CSW
1 - 0
ARG
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |