Arbroath vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STE
2 - 2
ARB
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
1 - 2
GLA
8%
19%
73%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AYR
2 - 1
ARB
69%
17%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
0 - 1
AIR
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 1
EAS
58%
21%
20%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 1
STR
26%
23%
51%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STR
1 - 1
AIR
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STR
1 - 1
STE
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
STR
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
STR
0 - 4
FOR
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |