Second Division Round 15

Arbroath vs Stranraer analysis

Arbroath Stranraer
44 ELO 52
7.9% Tilt 16.6%
2513º General ELO ranking 5039º
28º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
36.2%
Arbroath
23.9%
Draw
39.9%
Stranraer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
Arbroath
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.9%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arbroath
+4%
-10%
Stranraer

ELO progression

Arbroath
Stranraer
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
0 - 3
Rangers
GLA
9%
19%
72%
46 75 29 0
16 Nov. 2013
STE
Stenhousemuir
3 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
64%
20%
16%
46 54 8 0
09 Nov. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 2
East Fife
EAS
64%
20%
17%
47 40 7 -1
02 Nov. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
0 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
41%
24%
35%
48 51 3 -1
26 Oct. 2013
BRE
Brechin City
3 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
55%
21%
24%
49 51 2 -1

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2013
CLY
Clyde
1 - 1
Stranraer
STR
42%
24%
34%
51 50 1 0
23 Nov. 2013
STR
Stranraer
3 - 1
Airdrieonians
AIR
76%
14%
10%
51 41 10 0
16 Nov. 2013
EAS
East Fife
1 - 2
Stranraer
STR
31%
24%
45%
50 41 9 +1
12 Nov. 2013
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 6
Stranraer
STR
57%
21%
21%
49 51 2 +1
09 Nov. 2013
AUC
Auchinleck Talbot
2 - 3
Stranraer
STR
43%
23%
34%
49 46 3 0