Arbroath vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARB
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALB
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 0
STE
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 4
ARB
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 1
QOS
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
QOS
2 - 0
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 1
STR
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STR
3 - 2
BRE
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
ALL
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 1
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |