Arbroath vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ARB
1 - 4
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
STE
3 - 0
ARB
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 6
STJ
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
EAS
1 - 1
ARB
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ARB
3 - 1
DUM
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
PET
1 - 1
EAS
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
STI
2 - 1
PET
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PET
2 - 2
STE
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 0
PET
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
PET
2 - 0
CLY
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |