Arbroath vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
QUE
3 - 1
ARB
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
ARB
0 - 0
ICT
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
CWB
1 - 1
ARB
55%
25%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
ARB
3 - 3
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
ARB
1 - 2
THE
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
ICT
3 - 2
MON
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
MON
0 - 4
ALB
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
FOR
5 - 3
MON
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1997 |
MON
0 - 0
ROS
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
MON
0 - 2
THE
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |