Arbroath vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
STE
1 - 4
ARB
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 0
BRE
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ARB
0 - 2
RAI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AIR
0 - 1
ARB
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
KIL
2 - 0
FOR
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
STR
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
DUM
2 - 3
FOR
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 0
BRE
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 0
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |