Arbroath vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
CWB
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARB
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 4
ARB
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 0
STI
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARB
6 - 1
ALB
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
EAS
4 - 0
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUM
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 4
ARB
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 2
STI
59%
20%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
CWB
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |