Arbroath vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
EAS
1 - 1
ARB
45%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
QUE
2 - 2
ARB
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ARB
0 - 3
CWB
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
BER
3 - 0
ARB
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ARB
1 - 1
STE
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BER
1 - 1
ELG
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
ELG
1 - 2
EAS
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
THE
0 - 2
ELG
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ELG
2 - 2
ALB
53%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ELG
2 - 2
QUE
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |