Third Division Round 5

Arbroath vs East Fife analysis

Arbroath East Fife
49 ELO 46
8.8% Tilt 9.4%
2509º General ELO ranking 3132º
28º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
66.2%
Arbroath
19.1%
Draw
14.7%
East Fife

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
Arbroath
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
East Fife
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arbroath
+9%
-3%
East Fife

ELO progression

Arbroath
East Fife
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2014
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 1
Montrose
MON
50%
23%
27%
49 50 1 0
23 Aug. 2014
QUE
Queen's Park
0 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
46%
24%
31%
47 44 3 +2
16 Aug. 2014
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
51%
23%
26%
45 47 2 +2
09 Aug. 2014
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
70%
17%
13%
43 52 9 +2
02 Aug. 2014
HAM
Hamilton Academical
2 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
78%
14%
7%
42 66 24 +1

Matches

East Fife
East Fife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2014
EAS
East Fife
3 - 1
East Stirlingshire
THE
56%
22%
22%
42 41 1 0
23 Aug. 2014
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 0
East Fife
EAS
54%
24%
22%
42 47 5 0
19 Aug. 2014
BRO
Brora Rangers
2 - 3
East Fife
EAS
81%
13%
7%
40 58 18 +2
16 Aug. 2014
EAS
East Fife
2 - 3
Berwick Rangers
BER
29%
24%
47%
41 52 11 -1
09 Aug. 2014
ELG
Elgin City
1 - 0
East Fife
EAS
64%
19%
18%
41 42 1 0