Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
42.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
ALB
5 - 4
ARB
67%
16%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
ARB
2 - 2
STJ
32%
22%
46%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
CLY
5 - 2
ARB
78%
13%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1951 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALB
63%
18%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1951 |
STJ
4 - 0
ARB
80%
12%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1951 |
GLA
3 - 1
DUN
74%
15%
12%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
DUN
1 - 0
GLA
43%
23%
34%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 1951 |
DUN
2 - 1
QPA
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1951 |
DUN
3 - 0
HAM
74%
14%
12%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1951 |
ALL
2 - 2
DUN
40%
22%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |