Arbroath vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
10º
8º
61
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COV
2 - 0
ARB
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ARB
2 - 1
EAS
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 2
ARB
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 2
PAR
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARB
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
COV
3 - 1
DUN
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
DUN
26%
27%
48%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
0 - 3
DUN
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 3
ICT
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
QUE
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |