Arbroath vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
QUE
0 - 3
ARB
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
ARB
2 - 1
THE
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
EAS
0 - 3
ARB
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ELG
4 - 1
ARB
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BER
1 - 1
ALB
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BER
1 - 0
QUE
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
THE
0 - 1
BER
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
BER
1 - 1
EAS
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BER
3 - 0
STE
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |