Arbroath vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ICT
3 - 0
ARB
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 0
DUN
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
ARB
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
QOS
0 - 0
ARB
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 3
KIL
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RAI
0 - 4
AYR
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 1
QOS
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ICT
1 - 2
AYR
56%
24%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
KIL
1 - 2
AYR
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |