Arbroath vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALB
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
AIR
0 - 0
ARB
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AYR
4 - 1
ARB
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 1
QUE
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 2
ARB
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ALL
1 - 0
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 2
ALL
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ALL
0 - 0
RAI
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ALL
0 - 2
DUN
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 1
ALL
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |